Mapping poverty at the level of subregions in Poland using indirect estimation

Marcin Szymkowiak , Andrzej Młodak , Łukasz Wawrowski


The European Survey on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) is the basic source of information published by CSO (the Central Statistical Office of Poland) about the relative poverty indicator, both for the country as a whole and at the regional level (NUTS 1). Estimates at lower levels of the territorial division than regions (NUTS 1) or provinces (NUTS 2, also called ’voivodships’) have not been published so far. These estimates can be calculated by means of indirect estimation methods, which rely on information from outside the subpopulation of interest, which usually increases estimation precision. The main aim of this paper is to show results of estimation of the poverty indicator at a lower level of spatial aggregation than the one used so far, that is at the level of subregions in Poland (NUTS 3) using the small area estimation methodology (SAE), i.e. a model–based technique – the EBLUP estimator based on the Fay–Herriot model. By optimally choosing covariates derived from sources unaffected by random errors we can obtain results with adequate precision. A territorial analysis of the scope of poverty in Poland at NUTS 3 level will be also presented in detail. The article extends the approach presented by Wawrowski (2014).
Author Marcin Szymkowiak (WIiGE / KS)
Marcin Szymkowiak,,
- Department of Statistics
, Andrzej Młodak - Państwowa Wyższa Szkoła Zawodowa im. Prezydenta Stanisława Wojciechowskiego w Kaliszu
Andrzej Młodak,,
, Łukasz Wawrowski (WIiGE / KS)
Łukasz Wawrowski,,
- Department of Statistics
Journal seriesStatistics in Transition, ISSN 1234-7655, e-ISSN 2450-0291, (B 15 pkt)
Issue year2017
Publication size in sheets1.3
Keywords in EnglishEU–SILC, poverty, direct estimation, indirect estimation, EBLUP, Fay–Herriot model
ASJC Classification1804 Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty; 2613 Statistics and Probability
Languageen angielski
Score (nominal)15
Score sourcejournalList
ScoreMinisterial score = 15.0, 12-03-2020, ArticleFromJournal
Publication indicators Scopus SNIP (Source Normalised Impact per Paper): 2017 = 0.385
Citation count*5 (2020-10-17)
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