Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China
Huaigang Long , Adam Zaremba , Yuexiang Jiang
AbstractWe investigate the pricing of systematic tail risk measured by tail beta in the Chinese equity market. Using an array of tests, we examine the performance of more than 3,300 stocks for the years 1999 through 2018. Contrary to evidence from developed markets, we demonstrate a strong negative relationship between the tail beta and future returns. The effect is robust to many considerations and cannot be explained by established pricing factors or alternative risk or illiquidity measures. We link our findings to specific characteristics of the Chinese stock market.
|Journal series||Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, e-ISSN 1466-4283, (N/A 40 pkt)|
|Publication size in sheets||0.55|
|Keywords in Polish||systematyczne ryzyko skrajne, beta skrajna, Chiny, rynek akcji, wycena aktywów, prognozowanie stóp zwrotu, anomalia niskiego ryzyka|
|Keywords in English||systematic tail risk, tail beta, extreme value theory, China, equity market, asset pricing, return predictability, low-risk anomaly|
|Score||= 40.0, 03-04-2020, ArticleFromJournal|
|Publication indicators||= 0; : 2018 = 0.781; : 2017 = 0.75 (2) - 2017=0.906 (5)|
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