Porównanie wybranych metod badania koniunktury w rolnictwie w Polsce

Aleksander Grzelak , Jadwiga Seremak-Bulge


The aim of the article is to compare the methods for testing business outlook in agriculture in Poland and evaluation of their usefulness for the development of agriculture. One has compared three methods in the article: used by the IERiGŻ-PIB (synthetic indicator of business outlook of agriculture the SKWR), Institute of Regional Development SGH (index of business outlook of agriculture the OWK) and in a marginal extent GUS (evaluation of business outlook of farms). One has stated that the rate of the SKWR can be a barometer (reference ratio) with respect to indicator of the OWK. It results from the overtaking of the phase of the cycle for the SKWR compare to the OWK about 1 quarter. At the same time one has recognized the relatively clear synchronization of these cycles (after cleaning of the series from trend, seasonal and random fluctuations). The length of the extracted cycles in agriculture in the examined period amounted an average about 12-13 quarters. Simultaneously they were asymmetric. The phase of growth was more gently and long-term, in turn downward proceeded rapidly and lasted less.
Author Aleksander Grzelak (WE / KMiGŻ)
Aleksander Grzelak,,
- Department of Macroeconomics and Agricultural Economics
, Jadwiga Seremak-Bulge - Instytut Ekonomiki Rolnictwa i Gospodarki Żywnościowej PAN
Jadwiga Seremak-Bulge,,
Other language title versionsComparison of Selected Business Research Methods in Agriculture in Poland
Journal seriesZagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej, ISSN 0044-1600, e-ISSN 2392-3458, (B 15 pkt)
Issue year2014
Publication size in sheets0.65
Keywords in Polishkoniunktura, rolnictwo, wskaźniki koniunktury
Abstract in PolishCelem artykułu jest porównanie metod badania koniunktury w rolnictwie w Polsce oraz ich przydatności dla oceny tendencji rozwojowych rolnictwa. W artykule porównano trzy metody: stosowaną przez IERiGŻ (Syntetyczny Wskaźnik Koniunktury Rolniczej SWKR), przez Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH (Ogólny Wskaźnik Koniunktury w Rolnictwie OWK) oraz przez GUS (badanie koniunktury w gospodarstwach rolnych). Z uwagi na to, że trzecia z wymienionych metod stosowana jest dopiero od 2012 r., uwzględniono ją w marginalnym zakresie.
Languagepl polski
Score (nominal)15
Score sourcejournalList
ScoreMinisterial score = 8.0, 16-12-2019, ArticleFromJournal
Ministerial score (2013-2016) = 15.0, 16-12-2019, ArticleFromJournal
Citation count*15 (2020-09-13)
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* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.
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