Oil Prices and Stock Markets in Europe: Detection of Extreme Risk Spillover

Blanka Łęt


The goal of this paper is to check existence of Granger causality in risk between eleven European stock markets and crude oil market. We analyze bidirectional instantaneous and delayed Granger causality in tails test results, i.e. whether occurrence of the extreme returns on the crude oil market precede similar events on the main European stock markets and vice versa. Using Brent futures prices and main stock indices in Europe (Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Spain, Sweden and United Kingdom), we apply testing procedure developed by Candelon and Tokpavi (2016). The main conclusion is that in the vast majority of cases instantaneous causality in tails was symmetrical. We also found that more long-lived reaction appeared as a result to the negative news from the oil market and from the stock markets.
Author Blanka Łęt (WIiGE / KMS)
Blanka Łęt,,
- Department of Applied Mathematics
Journal seriesFinancial Assets and Investing, ISSN 1804-5081, e-ISSN 1804-509X , (0 pkt)
Issue year2019
Publication size in sheets0.65
Keywords in Polishprzenoszenie ryzyka, ropa naftowa, rynek kapitałowy, wartość ekstremalna, przyczynowość w sensie Grangera
Keywords in Englishrisk spillover; crude oil; stock market; extreme value; Granger causality
URL https://journals.muni.cz/fai/article/view/12528
Languageen angielski
Score (nominal)5
Score sourcejournalList
ScoreMinisterial score = 5.0, 07-04-2020, ArticleFromJournal
Citation count*1 (2021-01-07)
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